UPDATED MUSTANG DELIVERY TIMING ESTIMATE

[Reds197]

WOW! No 5.0 here in the states. What happens when they start shipping them
out of the country. We finally get a honest answer about production.

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[Mikeiscoo2]

Its hard for me to make sense of this. Maybe Tony Alonso can shed some light but they JUST started production. The actual PUBLIC want on this vehicle right now is low. No add campaigns yet, no cars in dealer showrooms etc. HOW IN THE HELL could you be RUNNING OUT of 5.0's. Especially when you are just doing dealer STOCK. This is ALLOCATED STOCK. Its not like they have had a SURGE in customer orders. That won't happen until the public start seeing this car on the road. Plus they aren't even scheduling customer orders yet. What are they going to do then if they can't meet this tiny demand now?

pretty much agree with this 110% every point well put. its pretty bullshit this was a half year long process with far more than enough time. how do you mess up on the logistics of how many 5.0's you need. who underestimates by that far of a margarine. "ughh hey bill how many 5.0's do you think well need" "ughh im not sure tom probably not that many." i feel like that was the amount of effort put into figuring out how many they needed.

 

[Kongman]

Congrats to you. You would be the first retail order to be assigned a VIN I believe. It sure seems an anomaly but maybe just maybe they are starting to schedule some retail orders. I'll keep my fingers crossed. I retail ordered on 7/10 so maybe my time will hit for a VIN soon. (Keeps fingers crossed).

Thanks, I hope everyone gets theirs soon, I don't know what my scheduled date is though.

 

[sublime5oh]

well hopefully they have enough 5.0's to get mine and others scheduled. Maybe they were expecting more ecoboost orders?

 

[S550_Magnetic]

One thing that is weird to me about that screenshot is the fact that it says week 38... They haven't been building these cars for 38 weeks!

 

[jpaul]

also got a vin # but it doesn't show build date yet :shrug:

 

[RisingForce]

One thing that is weird to me about that screenshot is the fact that it says week 38... They haven't been building these cars for 38 weeks!

That is the week of the year we are in currently .

 

[Droid_Junky]

One thing that is weird to me about that screenshot is the fact that it says week 38... They haven't been building these cars for 38 weeks!

My guess is that week 38 is next Monday. This is week 37 of the year.

 

[Mustangchief]

One thing that is weird to me about that screenshot is the fact that it says week 38... They haven't been building these cars for 38 weeks!

Week 38 September 15, 2014 to September 21, 2014

 

[S550_Magnetic]

That is the week of the year we are in currently .

Almost.

Week 37September 8, 2014September 14, 2014

 

[oyitsagreen]

One thing that is weird to me about that screenshot is the fact that it says week 38... They haven't been building these cars for 38 weeks!

38 weeks ago is essentially March.

I have no idea how their manufacturing works , but I'm going to hope for the " Incoming Batch of 5.0s" theory.

At least I'm only in order processing...I'd hate for my car to be sitting without it's engine!

Also , This is M6G (Johnny Tran) to Ford (Ted) : [ame="[MEDIA=youtube]hXfCaV-PD0U[/MEDIA]"]

 

[Sal JC]

 

[MikeAZ]

also got a vin # but it doesn't show build date yet :shrug:

As others have posted, COTUS doesn't show dates until the order enters a new phase. You'll see the build date there when your car moves to in production or awaiting shipment.

Call your dealer, they should have the build date for you.

 

[Tony Alonso]

Note it says they aren't out but it looks like 85% of their stock is depleted. Who knows how many they actually have left. It could be many are coming from off site as well and they are being shipped as we speak. I'll keep my fingers crossed.

Its hard for me to make sense of this. Maybe Tony Alonso can shed some light but they JUST started production. The actual PUBLIC want on this vehicle right now is low. No add campaigns yet, no cars in dealer showrooms etc. HOW IN THE HELL could you be RUNNING OUT of 5.0's. Especially when you are just doing dealer STOCK. This is ALLOCATED STOCK. Its not like they have had a SURGE in customer orders. That won't happen until the public start seeing this car on the road. Plus they aren't even scheduling customer orders yet. What are they going to do then if they can't meet this tiny demand now?

WOW! No 5.0 here in the states. What happens when they start shipping them
out of the country. We finally get a honest answer about production.

well hopefully they have enough 5.0's to get mine and others scheduled. Maybe they were expecting more ecoboost orders?

While I am no expert in Ford's scheduling processes for this car at this plant, I can draw some suppositions about the commodity report from my previous Mustang ordering experience, as well as how the logistics people I support at my company operate. I have no doubts there are others who can flesh out, correct, or refute what I say.

Constrained components are identified and planned for early in a production cycle. It takes time for the component to arrive to the manufacturing site, so this is one key factor. Another thing being balanced is the demand for the various models as seen by the orders (dealer stock up to now, and retail as of today or next week, depending on what's been scheduled as of today). A third key factor is cost minimization to store components in inventory. I am sure many folks have heard of "just-in-time". I guess that many of the component parts arrive at the Flat Rock plant not too far ahead (days to weeks) of their use.

These three things have impact, as well as how many components come at one delivery time to the plant - a set of number that is usually tries to minimize cost while keeping the manufacturing line running. These are logistical puzzles to solve weekly, maybe even daily, depending on the components involved.

This all said, I understand the commodity reports as something to give dealers visibility to factors that "might" impact which orders get selected and when the vehicles might be built. It's a way to give early warning, not necessarily something that predicts a "stock out" without any adjustments being made. In other words, the report about the engine says "based on our current supply, we're running low, so we should make some adjustments". The adjustments might be to get the supplier to agree to produce more than what's in a typical batch, sequence out the orders to avoid running out, slow down a production rate, etc.

There are people who have the job responsibilities to be looking at all of this information and then take action to either stay ahead of a "stock out" or minimize the amount of time something runs out and becomes a constraint. This stuff changes, as I mentioned before, likely daily and in what we know about Mustang manufacturing so far, weekly at most.

Do I think V8 engine are going to run out this week? I am not sure because I don't know how big the initial batch was, but I suspect "NO". Might Ford be working to increase the supply of V8s already? Possibly, although it really depends on how many different models have been scheduled for the production line at the rate they are currently running. So I take this report more as an "FYI", not as a "oh, man, I won't see my car until next year".

Don't forget that some of our dealer friends and others have commented about quality holds. I don't know what the criteria is for releasing the car, although I would guess one major part is how much the line is running without needing to stop and go back to do major re-work on a certain number of cars for whatever reasons. Assuming to the "OK to buy" is achieved next week as has been smartly speculated here, then I would guess Ford's schedulers are already adjusting their plans according to the demand for the GTs against the EcoBoost and V6s. If we knew what those order mixes were, we could maybe make some predictions about which model needs to have the most attention in terms of engine supply.

If you have read through all this, then I commend you because this stuff seems immaterial when you are anxiously waiting. However, I have worked with my logistics people enough to know we have many people trying to work across many suppliers to make sure stuff comes together so it can get out into the marketplace as fast as possible, all without compromising quality or causing an increase in the price passed on to the consumer. And these people work EVERY DAY to do this.

I say "don't despair"

 

[Kongman]

+1

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