Wow! 2.9% chance! Heaven help us if Fauci finds out.
Personally, I think the odds are MUCH higher and is why there is so much UFO activity. Just scouting best "seats" to watch it.
And I guess the video was too short to cover the massive water balloon asteroids but it did mention that asteroids were responsible for water on Earth.
^^^ Wish I had a 2.9% change of winning the lottery. They also say the trajectory could change as it gets closer, so the odds of it hitting could increase. At any rate, if it gets as close as 1/2 the distance to the moon it could still be a butt pucker situation.