GT 550
Well-Known Member
Hi Jay, I trust the statistics you're using to inform your probability calcs are derived from very good, updated and reliable data where it concerns things like field hospitals 100% opening in your area if the hospitals are overrun. Remember this isn't like driving or flying accident data which is relatively reliable and long term to the extent it can be used to inform future trends, no one really knows where the virus situation is heading as the data doesn't exist to support even the most elastic of predictions.
I beg to differ that hope can generate bad outcomes, but I do agree that 'hope is not a method' to quote General Sullivan, US Army.
If you're old enough to recall the AIDS lecture you'd also be able to recall the outrageous money spent and panic caused in 1999 preparing for the supposed threat posed by the Y2K bug. Or the 1973 oil crisis when folks were told oil was running out. Maybe Covid will stop the world but all I'm suggesting is that before you make decisions be sure the data you use to make those decisions is good and current.
I beg to differ that hope can generate bad outcomes, but I do agree that 'hope is not a method' to quote General Sullivan, US Army.
If you're old enough to recall the AIDS lecture you'd also be able to recall the outrageous money spent and panic caused in 1999 preparing for the supposed threat posed by the Y2K bug. Or the 1973 oil crisis when folks were told oil was running out. Maybe Covid will stop the world but all I'm suggesting is that before you make decisions be sure the data you use to make those decisions is good and current.
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